eweekchat

Predictions/Wild Guesses 2020
JOIN US: This is a chat-based conversation about what you think we can expect to see--or maybe shouldn't see--in IT next year.
   6 years ago
#eweekchatNo- & Low-Code DevelopmentJOIN US: This is a chat-based conversation about how do-it-yourself IT development is becoming a staple in creating and fine-tuning new-gen enterprise applications.
   6 years ago
#eweekchatTrends in New-Gen IT SecurityJOIN US: This is a chat-based conversation about what you think we can expect to see--or won't see--in data security this year. We'll have expert commentators!
Chris Preimesberger
Want to thank each of you who brought a perspective, opinion or data point to our community round table today. You were all brilliant!
Ross Garrett
Thanks all, this was awesome!
HowardMCohen
Thanks for hosting this, Chris.
Chris Preimesberger
#eWEEKchat Tentative Schedule for 2020
January: Trends in New-Gen Data Security
February: Batch Goes Out the Window: The Dawn of Data Orchestration
March: New Trends and Products in New-Gen Health Care IT
Chris Preimesberger
Any closing thoughts or takeaways from our time together?
Niraj Tolia

- ♥️this community on #eweekchat
- 2020 is going to be exciting. Change will be constant, exciting, and scary.
Niraj Tolia
Thanks for hosting this!
RSA
I think we'll need more than an hour for the next round of predictions! Great insights. Thanks for bringing everyone together.
Chris Preimesberger
I enjoy this every month!
Chris Preimesberger
This has been a wonderful discussion. Outstanding interaction and engagement. about 200 posts, 1.9 Twitter impressions, all in 52 minutes! (data up in RH corner of the CrowdChat page!)
Chris Preimesberger
Make that 1.9 MILLION impressions!
Niraj Tolia
Hopefully a few more impressions that just 1.9 (wonder who the 0.9 was) 😉
Simon Crosby
I blame Niraj :-)
Niraj Tolia
@SimonCrosby Wouldn't be the first time I was thrown under the bus. In fact, the underside of a bus and me are best friends! 😃
Chris Preimesberger
We've about 10 mins left, let's get in all our final predixions now, please ...
Niraj Tolia
Woah. These have been the fastest 50 minutes of my life. Tons of fun to boot too!
Simon Crosby
further shortage of cloud dev skill
HowardMCohen
All that was missing was snacks!!
Chris Preimesberger
I'm with you all on that! Fast times at #eWEEKchat!
RSA
@nirajtolia These chats always fly by!
ASG Technologies
.@ASGTec's final prediction: #darkdata finally sees the light of day #eWEEKchat
Chris Preimesberger
Very cool. May want to talk to you about that one!
Simon Crosby
what is dark data?
Chris Ferris
I published a blog today looking back at the last decade and forward to the possibilities for the next one https://developer.ibm.com/blogs/what-5-new-innovat...
https://developer.ibm.com/blogs/what-5-new-innovations-will-open-source-yield-in-the-2020s/
What 5 new innovations will open source yield in the 2020s?
What 5 new innovations will open source yield in the 2020s?
In this blog post, Chris Ferris looks at 5 open source technology trends that shaped the past decade — and what they mean about the next 10 years.
Praveen Seshadri
@simoncrosby yeah, could you shed some light on that :]
Praveen Seshadri
still amazed we didn't talk about AI/ML at all.
Praveen Seshadri
there's so much opportunity for IT ops, IT app development, IT app management, etc to improve with intelligent systems
Chris Preimesberger
We'll devote a chat to AI/ML in April!
Chris Preimesberger
Hadoop withering away?
Niraj Tolia
Unfortunately, not really a question anymore. The withering is well on its way.
Chris Preimesberger
A lotof companies invested in that six, seven years ago.
HowardMCohen
They also invested in dBase II forty years ago...
HowardMCohen
All software has a limited half-life.
Niraj Tolia
I do see an even shorter lifetime for software (infrastructure and otherwise) moving forwards. The rate of change is impressive and scary at the same time.
HowardMCohen
@nirajtolia Do I hear an adjustment to Moore's Law coming?? :)
Simon Crosby
hadoop- what was that again? Oh yes a thing google used in y2k
Niraj Tolia
@HowardMCohen Haha, the Tolia Theorem maybe? 😉
HowardMCohen
@nirajtolia Obsolescence accelerates
Simon Crosby
they fell for the “works for google” marketing
HowardMCohen
@nirajtolia Obsolescence Accelerates Iteratively??
Simon Crosby
@HowardMCohen REST has wasted the last 5 gen of Moore’s law
Chris Preimesberger
OK, we open the free-for-all period, which will go about 15 minutes: Tell us all your own personal ITpredixion(s) for 2020.
Niraj Tolia

1. Serverless will NOT take off as people expect.
2. We will see more #Kubernetes failure stores but this will be VERY healthy for increased adoption
3. A lot more stateful/data-drive cloud-native application growth
4. A lot more use of multiple clouds together
Simon Crosby
big data aka closer’cloudera etc continue to die. Put it in the cloud
HowardMCohen
This is the year tech becomes significantly more transparent allowing users to focus on the work, not the tools.
Praveen Seshadri
@simoncrosby Agree! Big data in the cloud.
RingCentral
Underhyped prediction: application anarchy and simplicity #eWEEKChat via @CurtisPeterson https://www.crowdchat.net/s/25ww9
https://www.crowdchat.net/s/25ww9

Simon Crosby
streaming data analytics and learning start to fly
Praveen Seshadri
@HowardMCohen agree totally. 2020 is the year IT focuses on who they are serving rather than their backlog.
RSA
Too much of global infrastructure,relies on aging technology vulnerable to exploitation. RSA expects to see nations bolster industrial control system (ICS) monitoring and defenses, in hopes of fending off increasingly commonplace and devastating attacks!
Simon Crosby
too much data to store. Analyze and learn on the fly
Praveen Seshadri
the "citizen developer" trend takes off for real in 2020
HowardMCohen
Higher-speed cloud-connection solutions will become far more prevalent.
Niraj Tolia
Open Source maintainers burden will continue to increase and we will see more backlash from them
Simon Crosby
the big aha: REST must die. It’s slow and expensive
JourneyApps

1. TypeScript will eat up even more of JavaScript's market share in 2020.
2. Programmable banking for individuals
3. More sophisticated IoT actuators for home automation. In general a huge takeoff in IoT in the home. No-code programming tools for IoT at home.
Praveen Seshadri
to paraphrase Bruce Lee --- "the art of IT without IT" ... people in LOB will make great strides in building, deploying and managing their own applications
Ross Garrett
@RingCentral Couldn't agree more - we're seeing many organizations rationalize the apps they use, there is far too much cost, and potential risk to let this continue unchecked.
RSA
With global events (i.e. Summer Olympics) delivering experiences through a blend of infrastructure and
connected systems, cybersecurity will move beyond data to encompass more and more of our physical well-being or “cyber safety.”
Praveen Seshadri
@simoncrosby what do u think takes its place?
HowardMCohen
@pravse Does anybody find a way to keep costs under control when the LoBs each start going off in their own directions?
ASG Technologies
ASG Prediction #1. Collaborative #content tools will provide new ways to comply #privacy, #records and #governance relating to content. #eWEEKchat
Chris Preimesberger
@nirajtolia Why do you think serverless is stalling?
Ross Garrett
Data governance will become an increasingly talked about problem amongst IT leaders. The "democratization" of IT is causing incredible data governance and security problems.
RingCentral
Wild Card Prediction: #QuantumComputing #eWEEKChat via @CurtisPeterson https://www.crowdchat.net/s/05wxp

(edited)

https://www.crowdchat.net/s/05wxp

Praveen Seshadri
@HowardMCohen yes actually. Among the best organizations adopting citizen dev platforms, we're seeing a lot of investment in governance. It's actually a lot easier with no-code platforms than it is with traditional code apps.
Simon Crosby
I think these IT predictions fail to account for legacy skills. IT is stuck
Ross Garrett
The much hyped world of #RPA will be uncovered as a #fakenews. Screen scraping and scripting is not intelligent or scalable.
Niraj Tolia
Customer stories around complexity, code maintenance pain two weeks in, hype around it being the next big thing (vs. an important part of a dev's toolbelt), lack of a standard, insufficiently large ecosystem.
ASG Technologies
@ASGTec 2. Shift away from monolithic, purpose-built #applications to new, nimble applications that serve a specific function and can be built on top of existing #services. #eWEEKchat
Chris Preimesberger
You mean COBOL folks still have a life to lead?
Niraj Tolia
@simoncrosby The question is who provides the bridge for folks with "legacy" skills. I think VMware is actually making moves in the right direction there.
ASG Technologies
@ASGTec 3. Shift toward #business users making #ITdecisions, rather than #IT leaders. #eWEEKchat
ASG Technologies
@ASGTec 4. #Digital process #automation will emerge as a new category, forcing organizations to embrace agility and automation. #eWEEKchat
Praveen Seshadri
@gssor Democratization of IT is a trend that isn't going away and is benefiting business productivity. So rather than "problems", I think of it as bringing needs.
Praveen Seshadri
@ASGTec totally agree w #2,, #3 and #4
ASG Technologies
@ASGTec 5. #Data will hit the balance sheet as an #asset, changing the way organizations think about it for good. #eWEEKchat
Simon Crosby
Niraj I’m not sure I agree on serverless
Chris Preimesberger
@ASGTec Definitely a trend, but is there worry from IT staff about too much control in LOB employees' hands?
Simon Crosby
but serverless becomes stateful
Niraj Tolia
@simoncrosby Tell me more. Very happy to be proven wrong as I think this can be beneficial to developers. I just don't think it is there yet (2020).
ASG Technologies
@gssor Yes - and #trust and #value will be increasingly important to #governance and governance issues #eWEEKchat
Simon Crosby
on quantum: wait 10 years
Niraj Tolia
@simoncrosby Would love to see #serverless become #stateful. EKS of Fargate was really interesting but no stateful just yet. That said, I can see a success path down that route.
RSA
Accountability for cyber risk will move up the org chart, with forward thinking businesses appointing board members with experience in risk management and information security.
Praveen Seshadri
worry, yes, but the tide appears to have turned on this. When even Gartner promotes it at keynotes, it's looking like citizen dev is becoming mainstream and IT has to figure out how to enable it in a sensible way
Ross Garrett
@simoncrosby REST must die? Bold statement! That's like saying the Internet must die ;)
Niraj Tolia
@simoncrosby What takes the place of REST? Something gRPC based? Something else?
Praveen Seshadri
on of the anti-trends I'm predicting is that RPA falls out of fashion.
Ross Garrett
#RPA is just marketing.
Praveen Seshadri
odd that we're into the last few minutes of the chat and nobody has brought up AI/ML. Isn't it a given that ML will have a huge impact on IT in 2020?
Niraj Tolia
@pravse Yes, seeing RPA backlash too but haven't followed it too closely. Can you tell me more why you feel so?
Praveen Seshadri
@gssor not really. I've spent some time learning about it. It is basically a way to spin up "APIs" on legacy systems that only have UI. It used to be that humans provided that interface, now RPA systems do.
Ross Garrett
@nirajtolia @pravse As I stated above, RPA is just screen scraping with a scripting language. No bots. No intelligence. It's fake.
Praveen Seshadri
@nirajtolia to me, RPA feels like a stop-gap solution to squeeze further life out of antiquated systems. So it isn't strategic, it feels completely tactical. Valuable no doubt.
Praveen Seshadri
@gssor Agree from a technology point of view, but I see a lot of tech people (myself included initially) diss RPA for this reason. Until I realized it was solving a real customer problem that there isn't another immediate solution for.
Ross Garrett
@pravse Exactly - allowing people to leverage old ERP etc for longer.
Praveen Seshadri
I'd predict RPA is going to merge with business process automation.