PredictionsTech2019

Wikibon's 2019 Predictions
Wikibon annual predictions are based on hundreds of theCUBE and other thought leader interviews. Come join us! Add your insights to the community.
Peter Burris
What is your cloud prediction for 2019 and beyond? Be specific! https://www.crowdcha...

Dave Vellante
Google will gain share in cloud and become a meaningful player - it will position for the 2020's and become a much more formidable force. It's ecosystem will grow faster than other cloud whales (from a smaller base of course) but Google will be one to watch in 2019.
David Floyer
Clouds and hybrid clouds will become increasing specialized for different workloads and industries. The number of cloud services, SaaS, Industry-led PaaS will grow very rapidly.
Greg A. Lato
@dvellante what is the core attribute of GCP that you think will be driving force behind that gain of cloud share? The biggest advantage I see them having is the google global backbone (GGBB or G2B2? :-) )
Stuart Miniman
The #AWS flywheel of customers and data will continue - #serverless (not just Lambda, but all of the new services built on serverless) and AWS Free Tier continue this trend. Microsoft has great apps, Google has data, Alibaba is growing, but 2019-2020 still all about #AWS
jameskobielus
AWS will become the predominant vendor of AI/ML data science DevOps toolchain services in the public cloud. In 2019, AWS SageMaker will become the principal data science DevOps workflow platform for 50% of its ISV partner ecosystem.
Sarbjeet Johal (#TheVillager)
2020 - Top 4 Cloud Providers will have 35%-40% of the market in #IaaS and #PaaS. As I believe best Iaas players will make the best PaaS players! #SaaS will remain scattered!
Greg A. Lato
@dfloyer and most of those industry-led PaaS are build on the big 3 cloud providers. Proof that knowing your customer is key...
Lawrence Hecht
Microsoft Azure blows GCP out of the water as the dominant 2nd choice for enterprises doing multi-cloud
Dave Duggal
@sarbjeetjohal Agreed, particularly as IaaS is a commodity, value-add is at the application layer
Peter Burris
Two "centers" of cloud are established: US (AWS, SFDC, Google, Azure, etc.) and China (Alibaba, TenCent). GDPR will catalyze a scale opportunity for a native EU cloud company.
John Furrier
#hybridcloud becomes #multicloud and RPA becomes the killer app for #IoT
Andrew Miller
The lines between public, private, and hybrid cloud approaches being blurred. As the skill and tech barriers to entry continue to drop whether on-prem or remote, cloud becomes a utility which is less seen/talked about than the business outcomes it provides.
jameskobielus
In 2019, Oracle will probably make several strategic merger/acquisitions to breathe life into its public cloud strategy. Possible hookup with Rackspace.
John Furrier
Google GCP finds a huge growth tailwind and will take some #Azure marketshare
Sarbjeet Johal (#TheVillager)
AI/ML will be heavily platformized by 2020 (before it gets commoditized)!
Ira Michael Blonder
@latoga Completely agree with "know your customer is key" for this reason I predict Microsoft will continue to gain share over the next year. Their re-aligned sales teams are doing great work
Peter Burris
@latoga AI services and open source.
Dave Vellante
@sarbjeetjohal Interesting point about PaaS - IaaS+ or SaaS minus are two paths to PaaS
David Floyer
Focus will move from AI Training and development to Inference AI at the Edge, and the focus will be on real-time decision making that improves workflow efficiency, and away from making executives smarter.
John Furrier
totally agree with AI/ML being the next computer science wave that creates #datafirst startups
Greg A. Lato
but don't the "Big 4", or actually the Big 3, SFDC !count IMO already have GDPR largely solved with in EU zones for local data retention? The rest of GDPR is largely access (application) issue.
Andrew Miller
@dvellante Agree that GCP is the dark horse but becoming increasingly interesting.
Dave Duggal
@jameskobielus or risk becoming disintermediated/irrelevant as messaging and middleware services become dynamically attached capabilities
John Furrier
Nvidia gets more market and loses some of the crypto marketshare to new chip designs for mining for #blockchain
jameskobielus
In 2019, Google will make a huge splash by productizing its growing TensorFlow open-source stack as a beat-all data science toolchain for DevOps, cloud, edge, auto-ML, etc. AWS will respond by doubling down its investment in SageMaker. Developer hearts/minds/$ at stake.
Greg A. Lato
@mikethebbop AWS also has started to refocus on deeply knowing their customers, starting with their largest. The speed of that flowing downward is key.
Ira Michael Blonder
Yes. AWS is definitely "owning" a lot of the federal market sector
Greg A. Lato
@jameskobielus Oracle hasn't show much interest in true new market share capture, only keeping their existing $$ stream from leaving; if they start to focus on growth via acquisition, they need to change a lot internally to make it really work.
Sarbjeet Johal (#TheVillager)
Another trend to continue in 2019 is that Miniaturization will continue in both hardware as well as software stacks!
https://www.crowdcha...

David Floyer
Driven by latency requirements of real-time computing..
Dave Vellante
So what are the implications? lower cost? new workloads?
Peter Burris
the "downsizing of software" has been going on for a while, but is the new convention. Big question: Will a downsizing of services follow? We think "yes" -- and with big implications.
Sarbjeet Johal (#TheVillager)
Lower cost, better abstraction, better beasurabilty thus better manageability
Sarbjeet Johal (#TheVillager)
Remember it's easy ti ingest tech into an enterprise, it's hard to digest it. Micro consumption makes it digestible for all people, processes and products!
Tony Flath 🎙 Podcast
software will just blend in, creating code will be a click of a button, look at new features of @IBMwatson @IBManalytics and set parameters and create code , boom! Done, very slick and then take a step further @REDhat and @IBM agreement this year... very cool stuff
jameskobielus
Miniaturization of software is happening through microservices, microcontainers, and decoupling of AI/ML models for deployment at the edges in more resource-constrained endpoints.

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Dave Duggal
@jameskobielus decomposition without abstraction is anarchy
Andrew Miller
I might draw a link here to making it easier to run various stacks on-prem with lower entry points. Feels like another wave in the continuing centralize/decentralize trends we've been riding for 50 years.
jameskobielus
Abstraction without crisp componentization and coherent orchestration is toothless.
Dave Duggal
@jameskobielus sure, it is a foundational presumption, but we do this in Telecom over physical and virtual functions in hybrid/multi-cloud environments
Dave Duggal
@jameskobielus Also, "orchestration" is a way over-loaded term, when we are connecting distributed processes not under our control, across silos, layers and boundaries - that's choreography
Peter Burris
PA Smooths the Cloud Transition. “Software Robots” will become increasingly simple to use and low code or no code approaches to automating workflows will drive RPA market growth dramatically, from around $1B today to more than $10B by 2023. https://www.crowdcha...

Lawrence Hecht
I don't count bots as RPA...I see it as more inline with BPM
Dave Vellante
I'm intrigued by the low code approach being taken by co's like @UiPath...similar to the way Mongo cracked the nosql market (simplicity and easy entry) I see a much more impactful (to businesses) entry strategy here
David Floyer
RPAs will need to be a lot smarter and understanding conversation threads! There is a severe penalty of credibility when bots are "found out"!
Dave Vellante
One customer's view of the ROI of RPA https://video.cube36...
Sarbjeet Johal (#TheVillager)
True that no code/Low-Code systems will elp RPA market but integration between these solutions stays as a bing hurdle! What we need is #DigitalGlue like capabilities, we already have all the lego pieces.
Sarbjeet Johal (#TheVillager)
I expect to see more vendors entering under #DigitalWorkplaces umbrella/domain to ease the pain of integration! Integration has to be low code / low code as well
Lawrence Hecht
@dvellante #lowcode gets more hype than it deserves. If it really works, then business process architects are going to gain prominence again.
Peter Burris
Capturing app context improves development focus, speed, control over SIs, etc. RPA fosters collaboration and helps put users back in charge of apps.
David Floyer
New Turing test - when is a response a credible response?
Dave Vellante
@sarbjeetjohal the reason I see the low code approach as important is so that domain experts can play with the tech and start automating all the stuff they don't like to do - we're seeing this a lot in back office financial services, insurance, travel and many other industries
Andrew Miller
@dvellante Low barrier to entry = ability for the many folks further down the org chart to experiment. We've seen this in many tech areas and seems to be a common thread for widely adopted tech outside of hardware which inherently have some higher cost of entry.
Greg A. Lato
@LawrenceHecht or do business process architectus become RPA Architects?
Greg A. Lato
RPA's success hinges on the ability to simplify the data integration.
Lawrence Hecht
@latoga then it is doomed to fail
jameskobielus
Software robots will be ML-driven auto-programming artifacts that tap into back-end auto-ML and DevOps in the cloud for CI/CD. The front-end user/developer experience will be declarative: visually specify the environment and intentions, and voila, RPA does the rest.
Peter Burris
Like every tool, it will get added to the kit. Hype is that it will substitute for other tooling. Rather, it will improve developer -- and business analyst -- productivity.
Lawrence Hecht
@latoga not sure, but I am sure that "architects" is a job role that is growing
Peter Burris
@latoga RPA --> data integration. Very true. That's why the context is so important.