
swardley92






































2015 OpenStack Predictions? Hmmm ... potters along, creating some noise with a few good examples, finds some niche use cases of value e.g. NFV space, plenty of concerns from end users over success of projects, concerns over governance / differentiation.

swardley
For me, 2016 should be the really interesting year ... private cloud seen as increasingly niche, focus on more on public + public hybrid, concerns of investors in OpenStack space, AWS clearly seen to be running away with it / followed by MSFT then GooG.

swardley
Growth of Cloud Foundry as the defacto standard for PaaS (in much the same way that AWS has become the defacto for IaaS) but this time with a strong open source play around it i.e. co-opting where needed, focused on creating competitive market etc.

Randy Bias
The work at Azure is really quite impressive, particularly on hybrid. I do think the window of opportunity may be closing, but it might be more like 2017 or 2018.

Boris Renski
Cloud Foundry is good, but Docker, Kubernetes, CoreOS are all out to compete with it piggibacking mindshare around container standard

John Furrier
great insight it's the year of "rubber meeting the road"

swardley
Back in 2008, I said 2016 was the key date for when private cloud would head towards niche ... I don't see a reason to change but you may well be right, it could be slightly longer.

James Watters
Its a simple discussion; Cloud Foundry brings you container scheduling, container image management, buildpacks/configuration management for containers, IaaS automation, embedded operating system, high availbility data services..

James Watters
and in Scheduling, containers, config management, IaaS automation, data services there are competitors

Randy Bias
Well, it's not very far away so we're going to see. :)

James Watters
but only Cloud Foundry does all of that, backed by an insanely well funded enterprise focused startup, with an $80M/year R&D budget

Randy Bias
@zer0tweets CloudFoundry != Docker+Kubernetes. Different parts of the stack for the most part. And CF isn't a "container standard"

James Urquhart
Cloud Foundry's challenge will be to avoid becoming contextual and locked down over time. That said, I think @wattersjames is right, there is not yet a competitive project that has put it all together.

swardley
Absolutely ... of course, I take the view that the fortunes of OpenStack could have been very different if the co-opting AWS play had been stuck with at the very beginning rather than being thrown away of the launch evening in pursuit of differentiation.

swardley
By now, I would have hoped for a mass of extremely large AWS clones powered by OpenStack and competing in the public market with syntactic and semantic interop over key APIs ... alas, not the case.

Randy Bias
@furrier Stu is off-base. Hyperconvergence is a niche product. Blog posting out after this crowdchat to debunk that myth. It's CI + HCI for certain workloads. Hyperconverged won't displace standard converged.

Boris Renski
@randybias CF is not a container standard, yes. It is container orchestrator and manager originally build for a container standard that has been overtaken by Docker.

swardley
So, I feel the differentiation play has led to the collective prisoner dilemma that has trapped OpenStack in a private space requiring it to focus on niche ... a pity, a lot of great talent but IMHO misguided play at the beginning.

Boris Renski
CF owns the management APIs, Docker owns the container standard and is making a push up the stack

Randy Bias
@zer0tweets No it's not. Containers are tangential to it's purpose. CF is more like Java Containers 2.0 (weblogic/websphere) in a modern cloud world.

Gabriel Chapman
@randybias it will for specific scale, ie sub 1000 workloads/VM's above that its all RackScale

swardley
On the upside, Cloud Foundry has been able to learn from this and hopefully we will finally get that competitive market based upon an open source reference model ... just at the PaaS level of the stack.

Jesse Proudman
I agree on the Private Cloud focus and we've discussed about this on Twitter before. The reality is that there's still Billions of dollars to be made in niche markets. Niche != The Death of OpenStack.

Randy Bias
@zer0tweets Containers are a simple technology tool that enable PaaS. Container orchestration is another layer of that. But container orchestration isn't going to create abstraction layers around data storage, messaging, etc.

Jesse Proudman
@zer0tweets Cloud Foundry has positioned itself as a the defacto API for those who are seeking application portability amongst many disparate IaaS technologies (AWS, GCE, OpenStack, VMware, etc...). It's challenge will be service catalog development.

Gabriel Chapman
@randybias @zer0tweets would you say that the majority of workloads are container friendly/supported?

...
my prediction is that companies will do Openstack like distros and foundation will be reduced to rubber stamp.

Randy Bias
PaaS is a "load your code and go" system. The developer points at a repo, loads a commit, and the code runs. It's an app runtime for modern cloud use cases. Docker+Kubernetes does not replace that. In fact, it's likely to be integrated.

Alex Barreto
Containerization is a principal driver for abstraction of storage, messaging, compute

Alex Barreto
Experience has shown that many such layers, in addition to compute workloads, are container ready

Alex Barreto
Containerization is a significant step toward PaaS adoption

Chris Swan
@shakamunyi and that abstraction seems to be happening in the Docker nascent extension space as otherwise each element was treading on the toes of others - hence Powerstrip for wrapping the API for prototyping

James Watters
and of all of these very small startups mentioned, only Cloud Foundry has record setting software while maintaining a very open standard: http://www.theregist...

James Watters
[record setting revenue that is]

John Furrier
James share those numbers again

swardley
@blueboxjesse : Oh, I don't disagree that there are valuable niches e.g. Telco / Network Equipment Providers / NFV space has potential. Just that the overall potential of OpenStack (a competitive market of AWS clones) was far greater but never realised.

swardley
@shakamunyi : containerization is an extremely useful subsystem of PaaS, it should be an invisible underlying component ... it's the wrong place to focus on.

Alex Barreto
it's an enabler - addressed and continues to address many issues at the IaaS, PaaS and application sphere

Alex Barreto
Focus should always originate from an app-centic perspective

Alex Barreto
Containerization, like IaaS before it, will need focus, then it can become an invisible underlying component